Kawaki Aoba: Come Listen to My Analysis (Bluff)

"As far as I know, there are three most prominent ninjas of the new generation in Sunagakure.

The first is Rasa, a disciple of the Third Kazekage who also mastered Magnet Release.

The second is the young genius who appeared at the end of the Second Shinobi World War, Pakura of the Scorch Release.

As for the third, that would be Sasori of the Red Sand, whom we just encountered, but since he has already defected, he is out of the question.

Among the remaining two, the former, Rasa, is the Third Kazekage's disciple and is considered the most orthodox successor for the Fourth Kazekage. He is certainly determined to secure the position.

As for the latter, Pakura of the Scorch Release, she is young, famous, and proud. In terms of strength, she is one of the best in Sunagakure, and she surely has no shortage of followers. Under these circumstances, I don't believe she has no designs on the Kazekage seat.

Moreover, even if she didn't have such ambitions, she would have no choice. As long as those around her are ambitious and want to gain more influence within Sunagakure, they will certainly push Pakura toward the position of Kazekage."

These words were Kawaki Aoba's own deductions, working backward from the result he already knew. To put it bluntly, he was making it up.

However, it was precisely this fabricated story that successfully made Yuhi Shinku unable to remain indifferent.

He suddenly realized that the analysis provided by his most outstanding student didn't seem so far-fetched.

He had never noticed before that, beyond his talent for ninjutsu, his student was so exceptional, having quietly learned so much about the situations in other villages.

Although this was all public information, for a newly graduated genin, it would have taken quite a bit of effort to uncover.

At this moment, seeing signs that his teacher was being swayed, Kawaki Aoba quickly added fuel to the fire: "As long as both Rasa and Pakura are in Sunagakure, they must decide who is superior to claim the position of the Fourth Kazekage.

Herein lies the truly important question: how exactly should these two settle their rivalry? What kind of confrontation would qualify to determine who is most suitable to become the Fourth Kazekage?

There is only one answer: Konoha. Whoever among them can achieve victory in a war against our Hidden Leaf Village and secure sufficient benefits will hold a greater advantage in the election for the Fourth Kazekage."

This time, Yuhi Shinku fell silent. Although Kawaki Aoba's analysis was still quite extreme, the possibility could not be ruled out. Who knows what is going on in the minds of those in Sunagakure?

One must remember that they have already begun moving parts of their ninja forces toward the border.

Teacher Shinku is already being swayed. Max-level Observation Haki is truly the best.

A smile appeared on Kawaki Aoba's face as he added the final bargaining chip to convince his teacher.

"Besides that, I think there is another reason why Sunagakure would launch a war against us: they need to pin the death of the Third Kazekage on us."

"What?" Sarutobi Asuma, who had been listening to the analysis from the side, immediately bristled. "Impossible. Wasn't the Third Kazekage's death caused by their own people? It was that Sasori of the Red Sand; we all saw the Human Puppet."

"That's right, Asuma, you're correct. That is the truth, but these words cannot be told to the people of Sunagakure. They won't believe it, and more importantly, they cannot afford to believe it. Want to know why?" Kawaki Aoba once again preempted Asuma's thoughts, leaving the boy speechless.

"Because they need this war. Rasa and Pakura need a war to prove themselves, and those who support them also need to accumulate merit on the battlefield to climb higher.

And then there are the high-ranking officials responsible for keeping Sunagakure running after the Kazekage's death; as long as there is hope, they will not pass up the chance to tear a piece of meat off our Hidden Leaf Village.

Finally, such a war is acceptable to them regardless of whether they win or lose.

If they defeat our Hidden Leaf, such a feat would not only allow them to boast for a lifetime, but it would also make Sunagakure's reputation soar, earn them more trust, allow them to receive more mission requests, and make the Daimyo of the Land of Wind value them more, increasing their funding.

With so many benefits laid out before them, how could they possibly be made to admit that the Third Kazekage's death had nothing to do with the Hidden Leaf? And how could they be stopped from declaring war on us?

There is no way. Sunagakure provoking this war has already become an inevitable outcome.

Even if we had been able to capture Sasori of the Red Sand last night, bring the Third Kazekage's Human Puppet back to the village, and provide Sunagakure with a reasonable explanation, they would never have accepted it.

You must remember, Sasori of the Red Sand is the grandson of that old woman Chiyo and the First Kazekage. If such a scandal were confirmed, the blow to the morale of Sunagakure would be immeasurable.

Therefore, from the perspective of Sunagakure, they must find someone to take the blame, and our Hidden Leaf is undoubtedly the most suitable candidate."

Sarutobi Asuma fell silent. He found that he couldn't find any flaws in Kawaki Aoba's words. The most absurd part was that when he put himself in Sunagakure's shoes, he actually felt an urge to go to war with the Hidden Leaf; if they won, the benefits would indeed be unimaginably great.

Wait, if they won? What if they didn't?

At this moment, Sarutobi Asuma felt he had discovered the crux of the matter.

"Then what if they lose? Does Sunagakure dare to guarantee that they can definitely defeat our Hidden Leaf?" Sarutobi Asuma spoke very quickly, fearing that if he spoke too slowly, Kawaki Aoba would once again voice his thoughts for him.

After speaking, he stared intently at Kawaki Aoba, hoping his friend would make a mistake just once. Wouldn't that prevent the war from happening?

Little did he know, he had already been led astray by Kawaki Aoba.

It was just a genin's analysis; how could it possibly change the future under the weight of the grand trend, regardless of whether it was right or wrong?

However, despite this, Kawaki Aoba was destined to disappoint Asuma.

He turned around, facing Asuma with a look of confusion, and spoke as if it were a matter of course: "Isn't that normal? We are the Hidden Leaf Village, after all. Isn't it normal for them to lose to us?

In terms of secret techniques, our village has the Inuzuka, Aburame, and Ino-Shika-Cho clans.

In terms of bloodline limits, we have the Uchiha and Hyuga clans, prestigious families with ocular powers that have stood for a thousand years in the ninja world.

As for clans that don't have bloodline limits or secret techniques but are still powerful, there are your Sarutobi and Shimura families.

Even if we compare the number of civilian ninjas, in a place with such harsh conditions as Sunagakure, how many people with ninja talent are worth cultivating?

Finally, let's talk about the number of powerhouses, which is the key to deciding the outcome of a war. Let's look at Sunagakure first: what do they have?

The new generation's Rasa and Pakura, and the older generation's Chiyo and Ebizo. That's only four people I can think of. But what about our Hidden Leaf?

Of the clan heads I just mentioned, excluding the Hyuga, which one is inferior? Even if we sent two of ours against one of theirs, we would still have powerhouses left over to watch from the sidelines.

Facing such a powerful force as ours, it's only normal that they would lose."