While training black people, East African Army generals were also analyzing Mozambique's strategic intentions.
Yalman: "Through intelligence analysis of Mozambique, we can confirm that Mozambique's military is now mainly concentrated in the south, and a large number of black people are trained. The specific number is unknown, but it should be no less than 30,000, and Maputo alone has more than 10,000."
Svit analyzed. "We can guess how many troops Mozambique will organize based on the maximum capacity. Based on the previous density of our East African indigenous people, Mozambique's population should be more than two million. Then it is possible for Portugal to organize hundreds of thousands of troops, but they are obviously impossible. With this strength, the problem of weapons and equipment cannot be solved, but if we are forced to do so, we should be able to pull out hundreds of thousands of people. With the help of Britain and France, tens of thousands of black troops with relatively sophisticated military equipment should be able to be formed, but the combat effectiveness will probably not be very high, and Portuguese should be able to raise an army of several thousand people on its own."
Felix: "Mozambique borders East Africa on three sides, so they have three directions to attack us, one is Southern Frontier Province, the other is Matabele Province, and the last is the Lake Malawi and Ruvuma River line in the north. If we assume that Portugal mobilizes 50,000 troops, then they can only attack in one direction."
Svit: "Our defense system on the Ruvuma River line is very complete. For more than ten years, we have used Ruvuma River as the default boundary for both sides, so the defenses along the river are very good. If Mozambique uses blacks as the main force to attack the Ruvuma River line, it would be absolutely stupid."
Merke: "I don't think so. Ruvuma River defense line relies on river and lake troops. In this regard, the capabilities of our river and lake troops are actually very limited. For example, the midstream and upstream areas cannot be covered, and Ruvuma River is very long, especially in the west. Ruvuma River does not extend all the way to Lake Malawi, so there is this big gap."
Svit: "But correspondingly, Portuguese has no advantage on the Ruvuma River front line. They have almost no development on the south bank of the Ruvuma River. We have river and lake troops in the Ruvuma River as support. They may not even be able to get together ferries, unless they make a batch temporarily to cross the river."
Yalman: "Do you think there is a high possibility that Southern Frontier Province and Hechingen Province will be attacked?"
"It is very possible that these two places are too close to Maputo. I believe Portuguese has the greatest pressure on these two provinces."
"Hechingen Province has Drakensberg Mountains as a barrier and has natural geographical advantages. Portuguese should not focus on Hechingen Province, so for Southern Frontier Province The military strength should be strengthened. Our military defense in Southern Frontier Province is focused on the Tugela River front line in the south, mainly to deal with British. Northern Front does not pay enough attention to it."
"If Portugal really attacks Southern Frontier Province, they can only go south from the coastal plain. This area is relatively narrow. Another brigade of troops should be enough. Our strategic goal You cannot capture Maputo at the beginning, otherwise Portuguese may surrender directly, so Southern Frontier Province Northern Front should focus on defense."
While East Africa was formulating a combat strategy against Portugal, the two good brothers, Britain and France, were also helping Portugal with suggestions. However, compared with the East African Army's calmness, Britain and France's military personnel had a headache.
"The terrain of Mozambique is not conducive to defense. It can be said that it is heavy at the two ends and light in the middle. It can be easily broken at the waist. However, whether it can be cut off by East Africa in the middle depends on the strength of the interior of East Africa and the deployment of troops in East Africa."
"East Africa's military strength is mainly concentrated in two areas, one in the south and one in the north. East African Army on the other side of the Ruvuma River should be the strongest in number and strength, followed by the south. East Africa's military strength in South Africa is not bad. They have a natural fear of Cape Town." British military instructor Johnson said proudly.
It is easy to understand that British makes this judgment, because East Africa does deploy its forces in this way. The area north of the Ruvuma River is the absolute core area of East Africa, and South Africa and East Africa have also made great efforts to deploy military forces to prevent British forces from moving north.
Johnson said, "So although there are many East African Army, there are more areas to defend. They have been restrained by us at least fifty percent of their military strength. If it weren't for your inaction Portugal, East Africa would not have expanded so fast."
The French instructor was unhappy when he saw the British guy needing a beating, but Portuguese was really incompetent. He had stayed in Africa for hundreds of years and relied on living on his laurels to make a living. As a result, he was bullied to the head by Germans, who came from behind. It was so embarrassing.
This means standing up and talking without hurting your back. If Portugal really has the courage and strength to expand in Africa, then I am afraid that today Britain, France, and Germany will join forces to deal with Portuguese.
As for why Portugal has not made much progress in Africa, this is really not the fault of two Colonial Government. In the past, Kingdom of Portugal's biological son was Brazil, and the main investment was also in Brazil. Who would have thought that Brazil would become independent directly.
Without Brazil, Portuguese Government is still extremely chaotic internally. It has no energy to coordinate with the outside world. It is extremely self-consuming and is damaging the remaining colonies. Moreover, the sequelae of Brazil's independence is that Portuguese Government is even more secretive about investing in colonies. What if it fails again?
Compared with East Africa, which treats East Africa as its own local development, the natural development of Mozambique and Angola is unsatisfactory. The development of East Africa is based on continuous investment and does not care about costs. However, the development of Mozambique and Angola is actually restricted. The locals have to suck blood from the two places. After all, the local economy is not good and the landlords have no surplus food.
"So of these two regions, I think the northern part can only focus on defense. Our goal is to attack and dismember East Africa. It is too unrealistic to eliminate East Africa. It is better to focus on South Africa."
The reason why Johnson thinks so is to use Portuguese to consume East Africa's strength in South Africa. After all, Cape Town is still watching helplessly!
French saw through British's little thoughts and said, "You have said before that East Africa has invested a lot in military investment in South Africa. I don't think it is appropriate for Portugal to focus on this area."
Governor of Mozambique Leiford agreed very much and said, "What Colonel Clément said makes sense. East Africans has a large number. If we mainly invest our military strength in the direction of South Africa, it may not be good for us, so we cannot put our eggs in one basket."
The existence of Southern Frontier Province does greatly threaten the security of Maputo, but if Portugal pulls out this nail, it will have to be neighbors with British, so it is better to let East Africa stay there! As British himself said, they have restrained East Africa's energy, so East Africa in Southern Frontier Province cannot deal with Portugal wholeheartedly.
This is a multiple-choice question. The question is that both answers have advantages and disadvantages. However, in Leiford's view, Britain poses a greater threat than East Africa. To deal with East Africa, Portugal can choose Britain and France to check and balance. To deal with British, who will check and balance? Depend on France? I'm afraid they will sell Portugal in exchange for concessions from Britain in other regions, such as West Africa.
Although the threat from East Africa to Mozambique is imminent, speaking from conscience, East Africa has been really good to Mozambique in recent years and has never done anything excessive. On the contrary, the United Kingdom has a criminal record.
The fault of East Africa is that its strength is expanding too fast, which scares Portuguese, and this time Britain and France guarantees that even if Portugal is defeated, East Africa will not be allowed to swallow up Mozambique and Angola. If East Africa insists on going its own way, the two countries will join forces to put pressure on East Africa, so there is a guarantee At the end of the day, this is the real reason why Portuguese dares to take chestnuts from the fire. If they win Mozambique, they will make a lot of money. It is even possible for Angola and Mozambique to become one. This is not much worse than the original Brazilian colony. If they lose, they will not lose everything. They can also keep Mozambique and Angola Colony.
Johnson saw that the plan could not succeed, and he was very unhappy and said, "Then what do you have in mind?"
Clement: "I think we should be on the defensive in both the north and south directions, especially Maputo. Although it is very close to the southern colonies in East Africa, it is simply impossible for East Africa to conquer Maputo. I dare say that Maputo's defense is one of the best in the entire Africa. Without heavy weapons and a large number of troops, it is basically impossible to capture this place."
It's not that Clement is touting Portuguese, but to be honest, Maputo is indeed the most difficult fortress to break through in the entire Sub-Saharan. I'm afraid only Cape Town, a century-old city in the entire Sub-Saharan Africa, can compete with Maputo.
"What if East Africa attacks from the sea? East Africa's naval strength is not bad. They almost purchased an entire navy from the Austria people."
"This requires the cooperation of the navies of our two countries. No matter how strong East African Navy is, can it be stronger than our two countries? We must first make a military ultimatum to prohibit any naval forces in the East Indian Ocean region from intervening in this war."
This is to tie up one hand in East Africa and fight Portugal, but if Britain and France opens his mouth, Ernst has to admit that it is indeed very powerful. East African Navy cannot withstand the joint efforts of the first and second navies in the world.
Clement continued, "The focus of our offensive should be on the central part, attacking the hinterland of East Africa. This is the weakness of Mozambique, in other words, it is also the weakness of East Africa. The north and south should be on the defensive to contain the main force of East Africa., the connection between the north and the south of Kingdom of East Africa is quickly cut off, and Angola and Mozambique join forces in the central region of East Africa, so that southern East Africa becomes an enclave, and the threat of East Africa is greatly reduced."
If Clement's plan succeeds, East Africa will lose the middle zone dominated by Zimbabwe and Zambia. After the connection with the east is cut off, South Africa and Southwest Africa will become lambs to be slaughtered. East Africa may indeed become East Africa, once it returns to ten years ago.
However, this is only an ideal state. Not only did Britain, France and Portugal misjudge the true military strength of East Africa, they also ignored the existence of a major weapon of war in East Africa. The reason why Franco-Prussian War and French failed last time is inseparable from the railway construction of Prussia. This French once again ignored this problem. There is a major artery in the interior of East Africa, which can rely on Central Railway to support weak links on the battlefield at any time.