Ch. 902South or East?
Napoleon IV's government debated France's response to the growing unrest and the military buildup in Belgium and the German Confederation. The ministers concluded that Austria and the risk of broader European intervention made the Central Europe strategy dangerous, leaving France without an easy way to preserve its initiative.
- Napoleon IV ordered an investigation into the demonstrations, and Adonis reported that industrial and commercial circles had helped spark the unrest.
- Napoleon IV blamed the financial syndicates and ordered the Foreign Ministry to disrupt Belgium and Germany's military expansion, even offering security guarantees if necessary.
- Karel Kadletz reported that Belgium and Germany distrusted France's guarantees and that Franz had publicly encouraged their military preparations.
- Ruskinia Hafiz urged France to launch the Central Europe strategy early, while Terence Bulkin argued that Austria was the true obstacle and should be dealt a crushing blow first.
- Ruskinia Hafiz warned that France could not decisively defeat Austria without risking prolonged war and intervention by other European powers.
- Karel Kadletz said Britain and other countries might remain neutral until France gained the battlefield advantage, when they would likely intervene to preserve Europe's balance of power.